2026-09-17Screening report
Data as of 2026-09-17US market
Summary
September 17, 2026 screening identifies extreme valuation dislocations in Lennar, J.B. Hunt, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Micron.
Screening weights
Fundamental improvement25%
Candidate comparison
| Rank | Ticker | Sector | 3M return | Revenue YoY | OPM Δ | FCF | Score |
|---|
| 1 | Lennar | Consumer Discretionary | -8.5% | +6.2% | +0.5%p | Positive | 9.1 |
| 2 | J.B. Hunt Transport | Industrials | -16.5% | +5.8% | +0.8%p | Positive | 9.0 |
| 3 | Bank of America | Financials | -6.5% | +7.8% | +1.5%p | Positive | 8.9 |
| 4 | Goldman Sachs | Financials | -4.5% | +18.2% | +3.6%p | Positive | 8.7 |
| 5 | Micron Technology | Technology | -11.8% | +81.5% | +14.2%p | Positive | 8.6 |
| 6 | Adobe | Technology | -13.8% | +10.6% | +1.2%p | Positive | 8.5 |
| 7 | Cooper Companies | Healthcare | -16.8% | +7.5% | +1.1%p | Positive | 8.4 |
| 8 | ATI Inc. | Industrials | -17.6% | +10.2% | +1.4%p | Positive | 8.3 |
| 9 | Advanced Micro Devices | Technology | -9.1% | +28.4% | +4.8%p | Positive | 8.2 |
| 10 | Boeing | Industrials | -12.5% | +6.4% | +0.4%p | Positive | 8.0 |
Screened names (observations)
Observation
Slipped on Q3 mortgage incentive margin noise; ~9.5x fwd P/E, $3.5B+ cash, zero home
Catalysts to watch
- Cooler long-term Treasury yields lowering mortgage rate buydown costs
- Secular US housing structural deficit driving land-light volume growth
Risks
- Elevated mortgage rates prolonging buyer incentive pressure
Framework exit signals
- Homebuilding gross margin contracting below 19.5%
Metrics to watch
- Homebuilding gross margin
- Quarterly new home deliveries
Observation
Consolidating at extreme oversold floor (StochRSI near 0.0) after Q3 warning overre
Catalysts to watch
- Intermodal load volume inflection and freight cost optimization
- Long-term rail conversion secular growth with BNSF/Norfolk Southern
Risks
- Extended freight recession freight rate softness
Framework exit signals
- Intermodal operating income declining >20% YoY for two quarters
Metrics to watch
- Intermodal load volume growth
- Operating ratio (OR)
Observation
Deeply oversold with RSI ~25 following conference remarks on Q3 deal fees; high-rate
Catalysts to watch
- Asset-sensitive NII expansion as benchmark yields stay elevated
- Resilient commercial banking credit quality and steady share buybacks
Risks
- Extended slowdown in underwriting and advisory fees
Framework exit signals
- Net Interest Margin contracting >15 bps QoQ
Metrics to watch
- Net Interest Income (NII) trajectory
- CET1 capital ratio
Observation
Sank on CEO Solomon's softer trading warning; premier global deal pipeline, resi
Catalysts to watch
- M&A backlog execution recovery into FY2027
- Asset & Wealth Management management fee expansion
Risks
- Capital markets advisory completion timing slippage
Framework exit signals
- Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) dropping below 9.0%
Metrics to watch
- Investment banking backlog growth
- Annualized ROE
Observation
Holding $900 critical support with RSI < 28 on AI slowdown panic; HBM3E sold out thro
Catalysts to watch
- Fiscal Q4 earnings release on September 30
- High-margin HBM3E volume shipments ramp
Risks
- PC DRAM channel inventory digestion
Framework exit signals
- Blended DRAM ASP turning negative QoQ
Metrics to watch
- HBM revenue contribution
- Gross profit margin
AlphaSignal: Top 5 Oversold US Stocks Poised for Rebound (Sep 17, 2026)
1. Executive Summary
- Date: September 17, 2026 | Market: US Equities (S&P 500 / Russell 1000)
- Overview: While cooler crude and easing yields lifted broader markets, earnings margin compression and guidance cuts opened prime oversold opportunities in cash-rich compounders.
- Criteria: Daily drop / RSI < 30, expanding revenue & OPM, positive FCF, solid balance sheet.
2. Candidate Comparison Table
- LEN (9.1) - Consumer | 3M: -8.5% | Rev: +6.2% | OPM: +0.5%p | FCF: Positive
- JBHT (9.0) - Industrials | 3M: -16.5% | Rev: +5.8% | OPM: +0.8%p | FCF: Positive
- BAC (8.9) - Financials | 3M: -6.5% | Rev: +7.8% | OPM: +1.5%p | FCF: Positive
- GS (8.7) - Financials | 3M: -4.5% | Rev: +18.2% | OPM: +3.6%p | FCF: Positive
- MU (8.6) - Tech | 3M: -11.8% | Rev: +81.5% | OPM: +14.2%p | FCF: Positive
- ADBE (8.5) | 7. COO (8.4) | 8. ATI (8.3) | 9. AMD (8.2) | 10. BA (8.0)
3. Final Top 5 Recommendations
- LEN (Lennar): Slipped on Q3 incentive margin noise; ~9.5x fwd P/E, $3.5B+ cash, zero homebuilding debt.
- JBHT (J.B. Hunt): Consolidating at StochRSI 0.0 floor; $1.5B+ cash flow, premier intermodal network moat.
- BAC (Bank of America): RSI ~25 on soft fee commentary; high yields support NII, backed by 11.9% CET1.
- GS (Goldman Sachs): Oversold on CEO trading warning; premier global M&A pipeline and wealth fee scaling.
- MU (Micron): RSI < 28 on AI slowdown noise; HBM3E sold out through 2026, Q4 earnings due Sep 30.
4. Conclusion
- Highest Conviction: LEN | Intermodal Moat: JBHT | Banking Value: BAC | Wall Street Leader: GS | Semiconductor Rebound: MU
- Watchlist: ADBE, COO, ATI, AMD, BA
Not investment advice. Scores and lists are relative snapshots.
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